| Unique ID issued by UMIN | UMIN000062549 |
|---|---|
| Receipt number | R000071600 |
| Scientific Title | Sequential target trial emulation using JMDC insurer and older-adult databases: 12-month effects of azithromycin maintenance therapy in non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis |
| Date of disclosure of the study information | 2026/08/10 |
| Last modified on | 2026/08/10 22:43:34 |
A study of whether initiating long-term azithromycin (macrolide) maintenance therapy reduces respiratory exacerbations over 12 months, and its harms, among adults with non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis and frequent exacerbations, using health insurance claims data (sequential target trial emulation)
Bronchiectasis Macrolide Maintenance TTE Study (JMDC)
Sequential target trial emulation using JMDC insurer and older-adult databases: 12-month effects of azithromycin maintenance therapy in non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis
Bronchiectasis Azithromycin Maintenance TTE Study (JMDC)
| Japan |
Non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis (adults with a high exacerbation burden).
| Pneumology | Infectious disease |
Others
NO
Using the JMDC insurer and older-adult databases (analyzed separately), to estimate, among stable adults with non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis and a high exacerbation burden, the 12-month per-protocol effect of initiating azithromycin maintenance therapy during days 0-29 and sustaining prescription coverage, versus not initiating any maintenance macrolide, on the mean cumulative number of treated respiratory exacerbations. A monthly sequential target trial emulation with cloning, artificial censoring, and inverse probability weighting is used. Erythromycin and clarithromycin maintenance, active-comparator comparisons, and safety outcomes are evaluated as secondary questions. This registration is performed before analysis and without reference to outcomes (before feasibility gates).
Safety,Efficacy
Exploratory
Pragmatic
Not applicable
The primary outcome is the mean cumulative number of treated respiratory exacerbations over 12 months from time zero (treated exacerbations are defined as episodes separated by at least 21 days). The per-protocol effect of initiating and sustaining azithromycin maintenance versus not initiating a maintenance macrolide is estimated using artificial censoring and inverse probability weighting in the sequential TTE, with 95% CIs from a patient-level bootstrap.
Secondary: time to first treated exacerbation and time to qualifying respiratory hospitalization; separate erythromycin and clarithromycin maintenance emulations when their estimability gates are met; active-comparator new-user comparisons of azithromycin initiators versus erythromycin and clarithromycin initiators; claims-defined safety outcomes (serious ventricular arrhythmia or cardiac arrest, newly diagnosed hearing disorder, pair-specific drug-drug-interaction outcomes, serious liver injury, and all-cause death) using endpoint-specific risk windows; exploratory pulmonary NTM; and transportability and heterogeneity between the insurer and older-adult databases without individual-level pooling.
Observational
| 18 | years-old | <= |
| Not applicable |
Male and Female
(1) Age 18 years or older at time zero. (2) At least 12 complete calendar months of continuous enrollment before time zero (verified uninterrupted spell or monthly enrollment table). (3) Non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis: non-suspected J47 in at least 2 distinct outpatient claim months in the prior 12 months, or qualifying inpatient J47 as principal, admission-triggering, or highest-resource diagnosis. (4) High exacerbation burden: at least 2 treated exacerbations or at least 1 qualifying respiratory hospitalization during days -365 to -31. (5) If the restricted extract is used, at least 1 systemic antibacterial claim equivalent to J01 during days -365 to -1. (6) Stable window: no treated exacerbation, respiratory admission, new systemic antibacterial, or new systemic corticosteroid burst during days -30 to -1. (7) New treatment episode: no maintenance azithromycin, erythromycin, or clarithromycin coverage during days -365 to -1 or carried into day 0. (8) No recorded pulmonary NTM (A31.0) before time zero. JMDC insurer database (2005-2025; primary time zeros April 2013 to June 2024) and older-adult database are analyzed separately.
Cystic fibrosis, lung transplant, claims-detectable pregnancy, or a prespecified absolute contraindication to the treatment strategy. A recorded pulmonary NTM (A31.0) diagnosis or NTM multidrug regimen before time zero. Maintenance macrolide use during days -365 to -1. Not meeting the stable window. Less than 12 months of continuous enrollment, or inability to verify enrollment continuity.
10000
| 1st name | Satoshi |
| Middle name | |
| Last name | Kutsuna |
The University of Osaka, Graduate School of Medicine Faculty of Medicine
Department of Infection Prevention and Control
565-0871
2-2, Yamadaoka, Suita city
0836-6879-5111
kutsuna@hp-infect.med.osaka-u.ac.jp
| 1st name | Satoshi |
| Middle name | |
| Last name | Kutsuna |
The University of Osaka, Graduate School of Medicine Faculty of Medicine
Department of Infection Prevention and Control
565-0871
2-2, Yamadaoka, Suita city
0836-6879-5111
kutsuna@hp-infect.med.osaka-u.ac.jp
The University of Osaka, Graduate School of Medicine Faculty of Medicine
The University of Osaka
Self funding
Japan
None
None
The University of Osaka Hospital, Ethical Review Board
2-15, Yamadaoka, Suita city
0836-6879-5111
rinri@hp-crc.med.osaka-u.ac.jp
NO
大阪大学大学院医学系研究科 感染制御学 / The University of Osaka, Graduate School of Medicine
| 2026 | Year | 08 | Month | 10 | Day |
Unpublished
Preinitiation
| 2026 | Year | 04 | Month | 14 | Day |
| 2026 | Year | 04 | Month | 14 | Day |
| 2026 | Year | 08 | Month | 10 | Day |
| 2027 | Year | 03 | Month | 31 | Day |
This is a monthly sequential target trial emulation (with cloning, artificial censoring, and inverse probability weighting) using the JMDC insurer database (January 2005 to May 2025; primary time zeros April 2013 to June 2024) and older-adult database. Among stable adults with non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis and a high exacerbation burden, initiation and sustained use of azithromycin maintenance is compared with no maintenance macrolide, estimating the 12-month per-protocol effect on the mean cumulative number of treated respiratory exacerbations. Databases are analyzed separately. This is a prospective registration before analysis and without reference to outcomes. Existing anonymized data are analysed after institutional review board approval.
| 2026 | Year | 08 | Month | 10 | Day |
| 2026 | Year | 08 | Month | 10 | Day |
Value
https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000071600