UMIN-ICDS Clinical Trial

Unique ID issued by UMIN UMIN000062549
Receipt number R000071600
Scientific Title Sequential target trial emulation using JMDC insurer and older-adult databases: 12-month effects of azithromycin maintenance therapy in non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis
Date of disclosure of the study information 2026/08/10
Last modified on 2026/08/10 22:43:34

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Basic information

Public title

A study of whether initiating long-term azithromycin (macrolide) maintenance therapy reduces respiratory exacerbations over 12 months, and its harms, among adults with non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis and frequent exacerbations, using health insurance claims data (sequential target trial emulation)

Acronym

Bronchiectasis Macrolide Maintenance TTE Study (JMDC)

Scientific Title

Sequential target trial emulation using JMDC insurer and older-adult databases: 12-month effects of azithromycin maintenance therapy in non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis

Scientific Title:Acronym

Bronchiectasis Azithromycin Maintenance TTE Study (JMDC)

Region

Japan


Condition

Condition

Non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis (adults with a high exacerbation burden).

Classification by specialty

Pneumology Infectious disease

Classification by malignancy

Others

Genomic information

NO


Objectives

Narrative objectives1

Using the JMDC insurer and older-adult databases (analyzed separately), to estimate, among stable adults with non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis and a high exacerbation burden, the 12-month per-protocol effect of initiating azithromycin maintenance therapy during days 0-29 and sustaining prescription coverage, versus not initiating any maintenance macrolide, on the mean cumulative number of treated respiratory exacerbations. A monthly sequential target trial emulation with cloning, artificial censoring, and inverse probability weighting is used. Erythromycin and clarithromycin maintenance, active-comparator comparisons, and safety outcomes are evaluated as secondary questions. This registration is performed before analysis and without reference to outcomes (before feasibility gates).

Basic objectives2

Safety,Efficacy

Basic objectives -Others


Trial characteristics_1

Exploratory

Trial characteristics_2

Pragmatic

Developmental phase

Not applicable


Assessment

Primary outcomes

The primary outcome is the mean cumulative number of treated respiratory exacerbations over 12 months from time zero (treated exacerbations are defined as episodes separated by at least 21 days). The per-protocol effect of initiating and sustaining azithromycin maintenance versus not initiating a maintenance macrolide is estimated using artificial censoring and inverse probability weighting in the sequential TTE, with 95% CIs from a patient-level bootstrap.

Key secondary outcomes

Secondary: time to first treated exacerbation and time to qualifying respiratory hospitalization; separate erythromycin and clarithromycin maintenance emulations when their estimability gates are met; active-comparator new-user comparisons of azithromycin initiators versus erythromycin and clarithromycin initiators; claims-defined safety outcomes (serious ventricular arrhythmia or cardiac arrest, newly diagnosed hearing disorder, pair-specific drug-drug-interaction outcomes, serious liver injury, and all-cause death) using endpoint-specific risk windows; exploratory pulmonary NTM; and transportability and heterogeneity between the insurer and older-adult databases without individual-level pooling.


Base

Study type

Observational


Study design

Basic design


Randomization


Randomization unit


Blinding


Control


Stratification


Dynamic allocation


Institution consideration


Blocking


Concealment



Intervention

No. of arms


Purpose of intervention


Type of intervention


Interventions/Control_1


Interventions/Control_2


Interventions/Control_3


Interventions/Control_4


Interventions/Control_5


Interventions/Control_6


Interventions/Control_7


Interventions/Control_8


Interventions/Control_9


Interventions/Control_10



Eligibility

Age-lower limit

18 years-old <=

Age-upper limit


Not applicable

Gender

Male and Female

Key inclusion criteria

(1) Age 18 years or older at time zero. (2) At least 12 complete calendar months of continuous enrollment before time zero (verified uninterrupted spell or monthly enrollment table). (3) Non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis: non-suspected J47 in at least 2 distinct outpatient claim months in the prior 12 months, or qualifying inpatient J47 as principal, admission-triggering, or highest-resource diagnosis. (4) High exacerbation burden: at least 2 treated exacerbations or at least 1 qualifying respiratory hospitalization during days -365 to -31. (5) If the restricted extract is used, at least 1 systemic antibacterial claim equivalent to J01 during days -365 to -1. (6) Stable window: no treated exacerbation, respiratory admission, new systemic antibacterial, or new systemic corticosteroid burst during days -30 to -1. (7) New treatment episode: no maintenance azithromycin, erythromycin, or clarithromycin coverage during days -365 to -1 or carried into day 0. (8) No recorded pulmonary NTM (A31.0) before time zero. JMDC insurer database (2005-2025; primary time zeros April 2013 to June 2024) and older-adult database are analyzed separately.

Key exclusion criteria

Cystic fibrosis, lung transplant, claims-detectable pregnancy, or a prespecified absolute contraindication to the treatment strategy. A recorded pulmonary NTM (A31.0) diagnosis or NTM multidrug regimen before time zero. Maintenance macrolide use during days -365 to -1. Not meeting the stable window. Less than 12 months of continuous enrollment, or inability to verify enrollment continuity.

Target sample size

10000


Research contact person

Name of lead principal investigator

1st name Satoshi
Middle name
Last name Kutsuna

Organization

The University of Osaka, Graduate School of Medicine Faculty of Medicine

Division name

Department of Infection Prevention and Control

Zip code

565-0871

Address

2-2, Yamadaoka, Suita city

TEL

0836-6879-5111

Email

kutsuna@hp-infect.med.osaka-u.ac.jp


Public contact

Name of contact person

1st name Satoshi
Middle name
Last name Kutsuna

Organization

The University of Osaka, Graduate School of Medicine Faculty of Medicine

Division name

Department of Infection Prevention and Control

Zip code

565-0871

Address

2-2, Yamadaoka, Suita city

TEL

0836-6879-5111

Homepage URL


Email

kutsuna@hp-infect.med.osaka-u.ac.jp


Sponsor or person

Institute

The University of Osaka, Graduate School of Medicine Faculty of Medicine

Institute

Department

Personal name



Funding Source

Organization

The University of Osaka

Organization

Division

Category of Funding Organization

Self funding

Nationality of Funding Organization

Japan


Other related organizations

Co-sponsor

None

Name of secondary funder(s)

None


IRB Contact (For public release)

Organization

The University of Osaka Hospital, Ethical Review Board

Address

2-15, Yamadaoka, Suita city

Tel

0836-6879-5111

Email

rinri@hp-crc.med.osaka-u.ac.jp


Secondary IDs

Secondary IDs

NO

Study ID_1


Org. issuing International ID_1


Study ID_2


Org. issuing International ID_2


IND to MHLW



Institutions

Institutions

大阪大学大学院医学系研究科 感染制御学 / The University of Osaka, Graduate School of Medicine


Other administrative information

Date of disclosure of the study information

2026 Year 08 Month 10 Day


Related information

URL releasing protocol


Publication of results

Unpublished


Result

URL related to results and publications


Number of participants that the trial has enrolled


Results


Results date posted


Results Delayed


Results Delay Reason


Date of the first journal publication of results


Baseline Characteristics


Participant flow


Adverse events


Outcome measures


Plan to share IPD


IPD sharing Plan description



Progress

Recruitment status

Preinitiation

Date of protocol fixation

2026 Year 04 Month 14 Day

Date of IRB

2026 Year 04 Month 14 Day

Anticipated trial start date

2026 Year 08 Month 10 Day

Last follow-up date

2027 Year 03 Month 31 Day

Date of closure to data entry


Date trial data considered complete


Date analysis concluded



Other

Other related information

This is a monthly sequential target trial emulation (with cloning, artificial censoring, and inverse probability weighting) using the JMDC insurer database (January 2005 to May 2025; primary time zeros April 2013 to June 2024) and older-adult database. Among stable adults with non-cystic-fibrosis bronchiectasis and a high exacerbation burden, initiation and sustained use of azithromycin maintenance is compared with no maintenance macrolide, estimating the 12-month per-protocol effect on the mean cumulative number of treated respiratory exacerbations. Databases are analyzed separately. This is a prospective registration before analysis and without reference to outcomes. Existing anonymized data are analysed after institutional review board approval.


Management information

Registered date

2026 Year 08 Month 10 Day

Last modified on

2026 Year 08 Month 10 Day



Link to view the page

Value
https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000071600