UMIN-CTR Clinical Trial

Unique ID issued by UMIN UMIN000061116
Receipt number R000069926
Scientific Title Development of a Prognostic Model for Cancer Patients in a Palliative Care Unit
Date of disclosure of the study information 2026/04/01
Last modified on 2026/03/31 16:59:57

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Basic information

Public title

Development of a Prognostic Model for Cancer Patients in a Palliative Care Unit

Acronym

Development of a Prognostic Model for Cancer Patients in a Palliative Care Unit

Scientific Title

Development of a Prognostic Model for Cancer Patients in a Palliative Care Unit

Scientific Title:Acronym

Development of a Prognostic Model for Cancer Patients in a Palliative Care Unit

Region

Japan


Condition

Condition

Advanced cancer

Classification by specialty

Hematology and clinical oncology

Classification by malignancy

Malignancy

Genomic information

NO


Objectives

Narrative objectives1

To develop a prognostic model for predicting 30-day mortality in patients with advanced cancer at initial admission to a palliative care unit.

Basic objectives2

Others

Basic objectives -Others

To assess the distribution and time course of clinical findings within 30 days after admission.

Trial characteristics_1


Trial characteristics_2


Developmental phase



Assessment

Primary outcomes

30-day mortality after initial admission to a palliative care unit (defined as death from any cause within 30 days of the first admission date).

Key secondary outcomes

Distribution and time course of clinical findings during the first 30 days after admission.


Base

Study type

Observational


Study design

Basic design


Randomization


Randomization unit


Blinding


Control


Stratification


Dynamic allocation


Institution consideration


Blocking


Concealment



Intervention

No. of arms


Purpose of intervention


Type of intervention


Interventions/Control_1


Interventions/Control_2


Interventions/Control_3


Interventions/Control_4


Interventions/Control_5


Interventions/Control_6


Interventions/Control_7


Interventions/Control_8


Interventions/Control_9


Interventions/Control_10



Eligibility

Age-lower limit

18 years-old <=

Age-upper limit


Not applicable

Gender

Male and Female

Key inclusion criteria

Patients admitted to the palliative care unit at Aizu Medical Center, Fukushima Medical University, between May 2013 and November 2025 will be eligible if they meet the following criteria:
1. Patients aged 18 years or older
2. Patients diagnosed with advanced cancer (locally advanced or metastatic disease)
3. Patients admitted for the first time to the palliative care unit at Fukushima Medical University Aizu Medical Center

Key exclusion criteria

1. Patients or their legally authorized representatives who refuse participation in the study

Target sample size

1500


Research contact person

Name of lead principal investigator

1st name Masao
Middle name
Last name Suzuki

Organization

Aizu Medical Center, Fukushima Medical University

Division name

Laboratory of Japanese Traditional (Kampo) Medicine

Zip code

969-3492

Address

21-2 Maeda, Tanisawa, Kawahigashi, Aizuwakamatsu, Fukushima 969-3492, Japan

TEL

0242-75-2100

Email

masuzuki@fmu.ac.jp


Public contact

Name of contact person

1st name Takumi
Middle name
Last name Kayo

Organization

Aizu Medical Center, Fukushima Medical University

Division name

Laboratory of Japanese Traditional (Kampo) Medicine

Zip code

969-3492

Address

21-2 Maeda, Tanisawa, Kawahigashi, Aizuwakamatsu, Fukushima 969-3492, Japan

TEL

0242-75-2100

Homepage URL


Email

k-takumi@fmu.ac.jp


Sponsor or person

Institute

Fukushima Medical University

Institute

Department

Personal name



Funding Source

Organization

Fukushima Medical University

Organization

Division

Category of Funding Organization

Other

Nationality of Funding Organization



Other related organizations

Co-sponsor


Name of secondary funder(s)



IRB Contact (For public release)

Organization

Fukushima Medical University

Address

1, Hikarigaoka, Fukushima, Japan

Tel

024-547-1825

Email

rs@fmu.ac.jp


Secondary IDs

Secondary IDs

NO

Study ID_1


Org. issuing International ID_1


Study ID_2


Org. issuing International ID_2


IND to MHLW



Institutions

Institutions



Other administrative information

Date of disclosure of the study information

2026 Year 04 Month 01 Day


Related information

URL releasing protocol


Publication of results

Unpublished


Result

URL related to results and publications


Number of participants that the trial has enrolled


Results


Results date posted


Results Delayed


Results Delay Reason


Date of the first journal publication of results


Baseline Characteristics


Participant flow


Adverse events


Outcome measures


Plan to share IPD


IPD sharing Plan description



Progress

Recruitment status

Preinitiation

Date of protocol fixation

2026 Year 03 Month 02 Day

Date of IRB

2026 Year 03 Month 10 Day

Anticipated trial start date

2026 Year 04 Month 01 Day

Last follow-up date

2027 Year 03 Month 31 Day

Date of closure to data entry


Date trial data considered complete


Date analysis concluded



Other

Other related information

A prognostic model will be developed to predict 30-day mortality among patients with advanced cancer who are admitted for the first time to a palliative care unit at a single medical institution in Japan, based on clinical findings obtained at admission (within 24 hours before or after admission). The performance of the model will be evaluated in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. In addition, the distribution and temporal changes of the clinical findings used in the primary analysis will be descriptively assessed during the first 30 days after admission. The following variables will be collected: sex, age, primary tumor site, sites of metastasis, systolic blood pressure, pulse rate, body temperature, oxygen saturation, altered consciousness, palpable radial artery pulse, abnormal breathing pattern, rattle, mandibular breathing, peripheral cyanosis, lower extremity edema, dyspnea, anorexia, dysphagia for liquids, Palliative Performance Scale, daily opioid dose (morphine equivalent), neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, hemoglobin, platelet count, albumin, aspartate aminotransferase, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, lactate dehydrogenase, total bilirubin, C-reactive protein, vital status (dead/alive), and date of death.


Management information

Registered date

2026 Year 03 Month 31 Day

Last modified on

2026 Year 03 Month 31 Day



Link to view the page

Value
https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000069926