UMIN-CTR Clinical Trial

Unique ID issued by UMIN UMIN000058279
Receipt number R000066621
Scientific Title Development of a prediction rule of infectious disease in febrile patients with unknown fever source: A single-hospital-based retrospective study
Date of disclosure of the study information 2025/06/25
Last modified on 2025/06/25 17:21:22

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Basic information

Public title

Development of a simple prediction model to distinguish non-infectious inflammatory diseases from undiagnosed fever: single-center retrospective observational study

Acronym

Prediction of non-infectious inflammatory diseases in fever

Scientific Title

Development of a prediction rule of infectious disease in febrile patients with unknown fever source: A single-hospital-based retrospective study

Scientific Title:Acronym

Development of a prediction rule of infectious disease in febrile patients with unknown fever source: A single-hospital-based retrospective study

Region

Japan


Condition

Condition

fever of unknown origin

Classification by specialty

Medicine in general

Classification by malignancy

Others

Genomic information

NO


Objectives

Narrative objectives1

When patients are hospitalized with fever of unknown origin (FUO), early diagnosis is challenging, and often antibiotics or steroids are administered before the underlying disease is identified. FUO includes infectious diseases and non-infectious inflammatory diseases (NIID). To prevent inappropriate administration of antibiotic and delay in steroid treatment for NIID, it is crucial to distinguish NIID from FUO at early clinical management. This study aimed to develop a model to identify NIID using admission data from patients aged >= 18 years hospitalized with undiagnosed fever.

Basic objectives2

Efficacy

Basic objectives -Others


Trial characteristics_1


Trial characteristics_2


Developmental phase



Assessment

Primary outcomes

NIID

Key secondary outcomes



Base

Study type

Observational


Study design

Basic design


Randomization


Randomization unit


Blinding


Control


Stratification


Dynamic allocation


Institution consideration


Blocking


Concealment



Intervention

No. of arms


Purpose of intervention


Type of intervention


Interventions/Control_1


Interventions/Control_2


Interventions/Control_3


Interventions/Control_4


Interventions/Control_5


Interventions/Control_6


Interventions/Control_7


Interventions/Control_8


Interventions/Control_9


Interventions/Control_10



Eligibility

Age-lower limit

18 years-old <=

Age-upper limit


Not applicable

Gender

Male and Female

Key inclusion criteria

Patients admitted to any department of Saga University Hospital between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2022 with a diagnosis labeled "fever, unspecified" (ICD-10 code R-50.9) during hospitalization were included.

Key exclusion criteria

We excluded patients who were under 18 years old, who were not measured ferritin at admission, who had not 37 degrees C or higher fever within 24 hours before or after admission, who had definitive diagnosis before admission, or who were not implemented chest X-ray, blood test, or urine test before admission, and those with an undetermined final diagnosis.

Target sample size

192


Research contact person

Name of lead principal investigator

1st name Shun
Middle name
Last name Yamashita

Organization

Faculty of Medicine, Saga University

Division name

Education and Research Center for Community Medicine

Zip code

849-8501

Address

5-1-1 Nabeshima, Saga, Japan

TEL

0952342249

Email

sy.hospitalist.japan@gmail.com


Public contact

Name of contact person

1st name Shun
Middle name
Last name Yamashita

Organization

Saga University Hospital

Division name

Department of General Medicine

Zip code

849-8501

Address

5-1-1 Nabeshima, Saga, Japan

TEL

0952343238

Homepage URL


Email

sy.hospitalist.japan@gmail.com


Sponsor or person

Institute

Saga University Hospital

Institute

Department

Personal name



Funding Source

Organization

Japanese Society of Hospital General Medicine

Organization

Division

Category of Funding Organization

Other

Nationality of Funding Organization



Other related organizations

Co-sponsor


Name of secondary funder(s)



IRB Contact (For public release)

Organization

Clinical Research Center, Saga University Hospital

Address

5-1-1 Nabeshima, Saga 849-8501, Japan

Tel

0952343400

Email

kenkyu-shinsei@ml.cc.saga-u.ac.jp


Secondary IDs

Secondary IDs

NO

Study ID_1


Org. issuing International ID_1


Study ID_2


Org. issuing International ID_2


IND to MHLW



Institutions

Institutions



Other administrative information

Date of disclosure of the study information

2025 Year 06 Month 25 Day


Related information

URL releasing protocol


Publication of results

Unpublished


Result

URL related to results and publications


Number of participants that the trial has enrolled

147

Results


Results date posted


Results Delayed


Results Delay Reason


Date of the first journal publication of results


Baseline Characteristics


Participant flow


Adverse events


Outcome measures


Plan to share IPD


IPD sharing Plan description



Progress

Recruitment status

No longer recruiting

Date of protocol fixation

2024 Year 01 Month 25 Day

Date of IRB

2024 Year 02 Month 02 Day

Anticipated trial start date

2024 Year 02 Month 03 Day

Last follow-up date

2025 Year 01 Month 31 Day

Date of closure to data entry


Date trial data considered complete


Date analysis concluded



Other

Other related information

The following will be investigated in the target cases: age; sex; admission and discharge dates; number of days in hospital; whether there was an emergency transfer; mortality rate during hospitalisation; rate of various tests performed for diagnosis (blood culture, sputum culture, spinal fluid culture, echocardiography, head CT scan, head MRI scan, chest X-ray, chest contrast CT scan, spine MRI, upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, lower gastrointestinal endoscopy, cytology, pathology, determination of TB interferon-gamma and syphilis test, beta-D glucan levels); blood tests on admission (white blood cell count, neutrophil fraction, platelet count, C-reactive protein, D dimmer, FDP, lactate dehydrogenase level, Albumin level, Total bilirubin level, aspartate aminotransferase level, alanine aminotransferase level, blood urea nitrogen level, creatinine level, Sodium level (blood urea nitrogen level, creatinine level, Sodium level, Potasium level, Chrolide level, serum ferritin level). The proportion of antimicrobials administered prior to blood cultures being taken should also be investigated, unless the patient has been taking antimicrobials for a long period of time, e.g. for chronic bronchitis. Neutrophil fractions are included in the survey as they have been reported to be useful in previous studies. For serum ferritin levels, measurements from the day before admission to within three days of admission should be adopted, as it is difficult to measure serum ferritin levels at night and on holidays. Factors affecting serum ferritin levels, such as the presence or absence of iron administration and transfusion of concentrated red blood cells, will also be investigated.


Management information

Registered date

2025 Year 06 Month 25 Day

Last modified on

2025 Year 06 Month 25 Day



Link to view the page

Value
https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000066621

Research Plan
Registered date File name
2025/07/07 (FIX)(変更申請)感染症予測モデル:研究実施計画書.docx
Research case data specifications
Registered date File name
2025/07/07 20250625 不明熱NIID研究 データ仕様書.xlsx
Research case data
Registered date File name
2025/07/09 Data set.xlsx

Single case data URL

Value
https://center6.umin.ac.jp/ice/66621